SGU Episode 775: Difference between revisions
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=== Email #1: R-Naught <small>()</small> === | === Email #1: R-Naught <small>()</small> === | ||
<blockquote><p style="line-height:115%">Dear Steve, Bob-1, Bob-2, Evan, and Cara, [Insert standard I love the show and all of you text here.] There has been a lot of talk about R-Naught these days, and I'm still confused. I've watched multiple videos and read multiple articles, and I still can't wrap my head around the subtleties. Wikipedia, for example, says R0 is the expected number of cases directly generated by one case in a population where all individuals are susceptible to infection in the absence of "any deliberate intervention in disease." That part makes sense. But then it says R0 is not a biological constant for a pathogen, as it is also affected by other factors such as environmental conditions and the behavior of the infected population, which seems to me to contradict the previous statement. Does it include interventions or not? I also hear talk of getting R0 below 1 to stop the spread, which also seems to go against the idea of "in absence of interventions" part of the definition. Is the R0 of measles 18 or less than 1 because we are mostly vaccinated? If R0 can change based on population behavior, wouldn't you have to list the assumptions for the number to be meaningful? Anyway, I think you get what I'm getting at. Love all of you and stay healthy! Best, Bryan Schiffner, Colorado</p></blockquote> | |||
== Interview with Gerald Posner <small>()</small> == | == Interview with Gerald Posner <small>()</small> == | ||
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== Science or Fiction <small>()</small> == | == Science or Fiction <small>()</small> == | ||
{{SOFResults | |||
|fiction = multitasking<!-- short word or phrase representing the item --> | |||
|fiction2 = <!-- leave blank if absent --> | |||
|science1 = random leaders<!-- short word or phrase representing the item --> | |||
|science2 = gamer addiction<!-- leave blank if absent --> | |||
|science3 = <!-- leave blank if absent --> | |||
< | |rogue1 = <!-- rogues in order of response --> | ||
|answer1 = <!-- item guessed, using word or phrase from above --> | |||
|rogue2 = | |||
|answer2 = | |||
= | |rogue3 = | ||
|answer3 = | |||
== | |rogue4 = <!-- leave blank if absent --> | ||
|answer4 = <!-- leave blank if absent --> | |||
== | |rogue5 = <!-- leave blank if absent --> | ||
|answer5 = <!-- leave blank if absent --> | |||
=== | |host = <!-- asker of the questions --> | ||
<!-- for the result options below, | |||
only put a 'y' next to one. --> | |||
|sweep = <!-- all the Rogues guessed wrong --> | |||
|clever = <!-- each item was guessed (Steve's preferred result) --> | |||
|win = <!-- at least one Rogue guessed wrong, but not them all --> | |||
|swept = <!-- all the Rogues guessed right --> | |||
}} | |||
''Voiceover: It's time for Science or Fiction.'' | |||
<blockquote>'''Item #1:''' Researchers find that multitasking in the office leads to greater satisfaction and decreased depression.<ref>[https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2020/05/200511154850.htm ScienceDaily: Multitasking in the workplace can lead to negative emotions]</ref><br>'''Item #2:''' A new study finds that choosing leaders partly at random reduces abuse of power.<ref>[https://www.elsevier.com/about/press-releases/research-and-journals/randomly-selecting-leaders-could-prove-to-be-a-remedy-for-hubris Elsevier: Randomly selecting leaders could prove to be a remedy for hubris ]</ref><br>'''Item #3:''' A study of teen video gamers finds that 10% display pathological video game addiction.<ref>[https://medicalxpress.com/news/2020-05-video-game-addiction-real.html Medical Xpress: Is video game addiction real?]</ref><br></blockquote> | |||
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=== | === _Rogue_ Response === | ||
=== _Rogue_ Response === | |||
=== _Rogue_ Response === | |||
=== _Host_ Explains Item #_n_ === | |||
=== _Host_ Explains Item #_n_ === | |||
=== _Host_ Explains Item #_n_ === | |||
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== Skeptical Quote of the Week <small>()</small> == | == Skeptical Quote of the Week <small>()</small> == | ||
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<!-- For the quote display, use block quote with no marks around quote followed by a long dash and the speaker's name, possibly with a reference. For the QoW in the recording, use quotation marks for when the Rogue actually reads the quote. --> | <!-- For the quote display, use block quote with no marks around quote followed by a long dash and the speaker's name, possibly with a reference. For the QoW in the recording, use quotation marks for when the Rogue actually reads the quote. --> | ||
<blockquote>You might use a simple model and find weird behavior and ignore it. But you shouldn’t ignore it, because that very weirdness is significant. <br>– {{w|Robert May, Baron May of Oxford|Dr. Robert May}}, physicist and ecologist </blockquote> | <blockquote>You might use a simple model and find weird behavior and ignore it. But you shouldn’t ignore it, because that very weirdness is significant. <br>– {{w|Robert May, Baron May of Oxford|Dr. Robert May}}, physicist and ecologist (1936-2020)</blockquote> | ||
== Signoff/Announcements <small>()</small> == <!-- if the signoff/announcements don't immediately follow the QoW or if the QoW comments take a few minutes, it would be appropriate to include a timestamp for when this part starts --> | == Signoff/Announcements <small>()</small> == <!-- if the signoff/announcements don't immediately follow the QoW or if the QoW comments take a few minutes, it would be appropriate to include a timestamp for when this part starts --> | ||
Revision as of 09:57, 25 September 2020
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| SGU Episode 775 |
|---|
| May 16 th 2020 |
 |
| (brief caption for the episode icon) |
| Skeptical Rogues |
| S: Steven Novella |
| Guest |
GP: Gerald Posner |
| Quote of the Week |
You might use a simple model and find weird behavior and ignore it. But you shouldn’t ignore it, because that very weirdness is significant. |
Dr. Robert May, physicist and ecologist |
| Links |
| Download Podcast |
| Show Notes |
| Forum Discussion |
Introduction
Voiceover: You're listening to the Skeptics' Guide to the Universe, your escape to reality.
COVID-19 Update ()
News Items
S:
B:
C:
J:
E:
(laughs) (laughter) (applause) [inaudible]
Do Facemasks Work? ()
Carbon Dioxide and the Pandemic ()
Distrust of Expertise Online ()
Closest Black Hole to Earth ()
Who's That Noisy? ()
- Answer to last week’s Noisy: John Cleese, talking about David Dunning's theory
New Noisy ()
[Cackling animal has taken someone's phone]
Questions/Emails/Corrections/Follow-ups ()
Email #1: R-Naught ()
Dear Steve, Bob-1, Bob-2, Evan, and Cara, [Insert standard I love the show and all of you text here.] There has been a lot of talk about R-Naught these days, and I'm still confused. I've watched multiple videos and read multiple articles, and I still can't wrap my head around the subtleties. Wikipedia, for example, says R0 is the expected number of cases directly generated by one case in a population where all individuals are susceptible to infection in the absence of "any deliberate intervention in disease." That part makes sense. But then it says R0 is not a biological constant for a pathogen, as it is also affected by other factors such as environmental conditions and the behavior of the infected population, which seems to me to contradict the previous statement. Does it include interventions or not? I also hear talk of getting R0 below 1 to stop the spread, which also seems to go against the idea of "in absence of interventions" part of the definition. Is the R0 of measles 18 or less than 1 because we are mostly vaccinated? If R0 can change based on population behavior, wouldn't you have to list the assumptions for the number to be meaningful? Anyway, I think you get what I'm getting at. Love all of you and stay healthy! Best, Bryan Schiffner, Colorado
Interview with Gerald Posner ()
Science or Fiction ()
| Answer | Item |
|---|---|
| Fiction | Multitasking |
| Science | Random leaders |
| Science | Gamer addiction |
| Host | Result |
|---|---|
| ' |
| Rogue | Guess |
|---|
Voiceover: It's time for Science or Fiction.
Item #1: Researchers find that multitasking in the office leads to greater satisfaction and decreased depression.[5]
Item #2: A new study finds that choosing leaders partly at random reduces abuse of power.[6]
Item #3: A study of teen video gamers finds that 10% display pathological video game addiction.[7]
_Rogue_ Response
_Rogue_ Response
_Rogue_ Response
_Rogue_ Response
_Host_ Explains Item #_n_
_Host_ Explains Item #_n_
_Host_ Explains Item #_n_
_Host_ Explains Item #_n_
Skeptical Quote of the Week ()
You might use a simple model and find weird behavior and ignore it. But you shouldn’t ignore it, because that very weirdness is significant.
– Dr. Robert May, physicist and ecologist (1936-2020)
Signoff/Announcements ()
S: —and until next week, this is your Skeptics' Guide to the Universe.
S: Skeptics' Guide to the Universe is produced by SGU Productions, dedicated to promoting science and critical thinking. For more information, visit us at theskepticsguide.org. Send your questions to info@theskepticsguide.org. And, if you would like to support the show and all the work that we do, go to patreon.com/SkepticsGuide and consider becoming a patron and becoming part of the SGU community. Our listeners and supporters are what make SGU possible.
Today I Learned
- Fact/Description, possibly with an article reference[8]
- Fact/Description
- Fact/Description
References
- ↑ Neuorlogica: Do Facemasks Work?
- ↑ The Verge: Even with people staying in, carbon dioxide is breaking records
- ↑ Newswise: New Map Reveals Distrust in Health Expertise Is Winning Hearts and Minds Online
- ↑ Universe Today: Closest Black Hole Found, Just 1,000 Light-Years From Earth
- ↑ ScienceDaily: Multitasking in the workplace can lead to negative emotions
- ↑ Elsevier: Randomly selecting leaders could prove to be a remedy for hubris
- ↑ Medical Xpress: Is video game addiction real?
- ↑ [url-for-TIL publication: title]
Vocabulary
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